WallStSmart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsUnion Pacific Corporation (UNP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Union Pacific Corporation generates 106% more annual revenue ($24.51B vs $11.93B). UNP leads profitability with a 29.1% profit margin vs 12.9%. CMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.73. UNP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

CMG

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47

UNP

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 9.5Value: 5.3Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CMGSignificantly Overvalued (-147.3%)

Margin of Safety

-147.3%

Fair Value

$15.05

Current Price

$32.50

$17.45 premium

UndervaluedFair: $15.05Overvalued
UNPOvervalued (-13.1%)

Margin of Safety

-13.1%

Fair Value

$211.98

Current Price

$241.33

$29.35 premium

UndervaluedFair: $211.98Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
47.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit

UNP5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
40.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
40.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.9%

Market CapQuality
$142.22B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
29.1%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.23B8/10

Generating 1.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.734/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
28.5x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
15.0x4/10

Trading at 15.0x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.9%4/10

4.9% revenue growth

UNP2 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.692/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.6%2/10

Revenue declined 0.6%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bull Case : UNP

The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.1% and operating margin at 40.9%.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : UNP

The primary concerns for UNP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CMG profiles as a value stock while UNP is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.02 — expect wider price swings.

CMG is growing revenue faster at 4.9% — sustainability is the question.

UNP generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

UNP scores higher overall (60/100 vs 56/100), backed by strong 29.1% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

Visit Website →

Union Pacific Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?