Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsTurning Point Brands Inc (TPB)
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
$32.50
-0.79%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $42.97B
TPB
Turning Point Brands Inc
$88.39
+1.80%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $1.69B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 2475% more annual revenue ($11.93B vs $463.06M). CMG leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 12.6%. TPB appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.05. TPB earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).
CMG
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
TPB
Strong Buy73
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-147.3%
Fair Value
$15.05
Current Price
$32.50
$17.45 premium
Margin of Safety
+12.1%
Fair Value
$145.55
Current Price
$88.39
$57.16 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Earnings expanding 194.5% YoY
Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit
Revenue surging 29.2% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Moderate valuation
Trading at 15.0x book value
4.9% revenue growth
Moderate valuation
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CMG
The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.
Bull Case : TPB
The strongest argument for TPB centers on PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 29.2% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.05 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CMG
The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : TPB
The primary concerns for TPB are P/E Ratio, Market Cap.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CMG profiles as a value stock while TPB is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.02 — expect wider price swings.
TPB is growing revenue faster at 29.2% — sustainability is the question.
CMG generates stronger free cash flow (228M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
TPB scores higher overall (73/100 vs 56/100) and 29.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.
Visit Website →Turning Point Brands Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · TOBACCO · USA
Turning Point Brands, Inc. manufactures, markets and distributes branded consumer products. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
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