WallStSmart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsConstellation Brands Inc Class A (STZ)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 27% more annual revenue ($11.93B vs $9.38B). CMG leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 11.8%. CMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.73. CMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).

CMG

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47

STZ

Hold

50

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.7Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.61
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CMGSignificantly Overvalued (-147.3%)

Margin of Safety

-147.3%

Fair Value

$15.05

Current Price

$32.50

$17.45 premium

UndervaluedFair: $15.05Overvalued
STZSignificantly Overvalued (-276.7%)

Margin of Safety

-276.7%

Fair Value

$43.32

Current Price

$151.56

$108.24 premium

UndervaluedFair: $43.32Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
47.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit

STZ1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
33.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 33.9%

Areas to Watch

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.734/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
28.5x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
15.0x4/10

Trading at 15.0x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.9%4/10

4.9% revenue growth

STZ4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.614/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.383/10

Elevated debt levels

PEG RatioValuation
5.462/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-9.8%2/10

Revenue declined 9.8%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bull Case : STZ

The strongest argument for STZ centers on Operating Margin.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : STZ

The primary concerns for STZ are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CMG profiles as a value stock while STZ is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.02 — expect wider price swings.

CMG is growing revenue faster at 4.9% — sustainability is the question.

STZ generates stronger free cash flow (371M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CMG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 50/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

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Constellation Brands Inc Class A

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - BREWERS · USA

Constellation Brands, Inc., headquartered in Victor, New York, is an American producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits.

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