Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsShake Shack Inc (SHAK)
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
$32.50
-0.79%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $42.97B
SHAK
Shake Shack Inc
$89.50
-0.60%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $3.84B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 725% more annual revenue ($11.93B vs $1.45B). CMG leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 3.2%. CMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.73. CMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).
CMG
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
SHAK
Hold50
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-147.3%
Fair Value
$15.05
Current Price
$32.50
$17.45 premium
Margin of Safety
-90.2%
Fair Value
$51.01
Current Price
$89.50
$38.49 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit
Revenue surging 21.9% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 28.7% YoY
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Moderate valuation
Trading at 15.0x book value
4.9% revenue growth
3.2% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CMG
The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.
Bull Case : SHAK
The strongest argument for SHAK centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 21.9% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CMG
The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : SHAK
The primary concerns for SHAK are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio. A P/E of 82.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CMG profiles as a value stock while SHAK is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
SHAK carries more volatility with a beta of 1.77 — expect wider price swings.
SHAK is growing revenue faster at 21.9% — sustainability is the question.
CMG generates stronger free cash flow (228M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CMG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 50/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.
Visit Website →Shake Shack Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
Shake Shack Inc. owns, operates and licenses Shake Shack restaurants (Shacks) in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
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