WallStSmart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 637% more annual revenue ($89.42B vs $12.14B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 12.0%. CMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.76. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).

CMG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47

PGR

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
49.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 49 in profit

PGR4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
37.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit

Market CapQuality
$113.36B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.30B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.764/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
30.5x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
17.4x4/10

Trading at 17.4x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
-17.9%2/10

Earnings declined 17.9%

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
30.202/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.03 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 8.7% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (61/100 vs 54/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

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Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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