WallStSmart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsNovartis AG ADR (NVS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Novartis AG ADR generates 366% more annual revenue ($56.58B vs $12.14B). NVS leads profitability with a 23.9% profit margin vs 12.0%. CMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.76. CMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).

CMG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47

NVS

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 9.0Value: 3.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.96
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for CMG.

NVSSignificantly Overvalued (-51.8%)

Margin of Safety

-51.8%

Fair Value

$110.12

Current Price

$146.03

$35.91 premium

UndervaluedFair: $110.12Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
49.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 49 in profit

NVS5 strengths · Avg: 9.4/10
Market CapQuality
$277.42B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
34.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
30.5%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 30.5%

Profit MarginProfitability
23.9%9/10

Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.87B8/10

Generating 2.9B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.764/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
30.5x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
17.4x4/10

Trading at 17.4x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
-17.9%2/10

Earnings declined 17.9%

NVS4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.964/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

PEG RatioValuation
2.592/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.7%2/10

Revenue declined 0.7%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-9.3%2/10

Earnings declined 9.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bull Case : NVS

The strongest argument for NVS centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 23.9% and operating margin at 30.5%.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : NVS

The primary concerns for NVS are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CMG profiles as a value stock while NVS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.03 — expect wider price swings.

CMG is growing revenue faster at 7.4% — sustainability is the question.

NVS generates stronger free cash flow (2.9B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CMG scores higher overall (54/100 vs 51/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

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Novartis AG ADR

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures and markets medical devices worldwide. The company is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

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