WallStSmart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsNatera Inc (NTRA)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 426% more annual revenue ($12.14B vs $2.31B). CMG leads profitability with a 12.0% profit margin vs -9.0%. CMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).

CMG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47

NTRA

Avoid

31

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 8.0Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
49.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 49 in profit

NTRA1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
39.8%10/10

Revenue surging 39.8% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.764/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
30.5x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
17.4x4/10

Trading at 17.4x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
-17.9%2/10

Earnings declined 17.9%

NTRA4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Price/BookValuation
15.8x4/10

Trading at 15.8x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Return on EquityProfitability
-14.3%2/10

ROE of -14.3% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
-9.0%1/10

Currently unprofitable

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bull Case : NTRA

The strongest argument for NTRA centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 39.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : NTRA

The primary concerns for NTRA are Price/Book, EPS Growth, Return on Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CMG profiles as a value stock while NTRA is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

NTRA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.57 — expect wider price swings.

NTRA is growing revenue faster at 39.8% — sustainability is the question.

CMG generates stronger free cash flow (471M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CMG scores higher overall (54/100 vs 31/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

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Natera Inc

HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA

Natera, Inc., a diagnostic company, develops and markets molecular testing services globally. The company is headquartered in San Carlos, California.

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