WallStSmart

CME Group Inc (CME)vsUnion Pacific Corporation (UNP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Union Pacific Corporation generates 277% more annual revenue ($24.51B vs $6.51B). CME leads profitability with a 62.6% profit margin vs 29.1%. UNP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.69. CME earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

CME

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 1/9

UNP

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 9.5Value: 5.3Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CMEUndervalued (+43.8%)

Margin of Safety

+43.8%

Fair Value

$522.76

Current Price

$293.93

$228.83 discount

UndervaluedFair: $522.76Overvalued
UNPOvervalued (-13.1%)

Margin of Safety

-13.1%

Fair Value

$211.98

Current Price

$241.33

$29.35 premium

UndervaluedFair: $211.98Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CME6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Profit MarginProfitability
62.6%10/10

Keeps 63 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
63.8%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 63.8%

Market CapQuality
$105.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Debt/EquityHealth
0.129/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

EPS GrowthGrowth
35.0%8/10

Earnings expanding 35.0% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.10B8/10

Generating 1.1B in free cash flow

UNP5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
40.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
40.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.9%

Market CapQuality
$142.22B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
29.1%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.23B8/10

Generating 1.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CME3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
26.3x4/10

Moderate valuation

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
5.842/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

UNP2 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.692/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.6%2/10

Revenue declined 0.6%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CME

The strongest argument for CME centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 62.6% and operating margin at 63.8%.

Bull Case : UNP

The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.1% and operating margin at 40.9%.

Bear Case : CME

The primary concerns for CME are P/E Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : UNP

The primary concerns for UNP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CME profiles as a mature stock while UNP is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

UNP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.95 — expect wider price swings.

CME is growing revenue faster at 8.0% — sustainability is the question.

UNP generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CME scores higher overall (63/100 vs 60/100), backed by strong 62.6% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CME Group Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · FINANCIAL DATA & STOCK EXCHANGES · USA

CME Group Inc. (Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Chicago Board of Trade, New York Mercantile Exchange, The Commodity Exchange) is an American global markets company. It is the world's largest financial derivatives exchange, and trades in asset classes that include agricultural products, currencies, energy, interest rates, metals, stock indexes and cryptocurrencies futures.

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Union Pacific Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.

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