WallStSmart

CME Group Inc (CME)vsCoinbase Global Inc (COIN)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Coinbase Global Inc generates 6% more annual revenue ($6.88B vs $6.51B). CME leads profitability with a 62.6% profit margin vs 18.3%. COIN appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.78. CME earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

CME

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 1/9

COIN

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 9.3Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.78
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CMEUndervalued (+40.6%)

Margin of Safety

+40.6%

Fair Value

$522.76

Current Price

$307.32

$215.44 discount

UndervaluedFair: $522.76Overvalued
COINUndervalued (+26.4%)

Margin of Safety

+26.4%

Fair Value

$208.26

Current Price

$197.50

$10.76 discount

UndervaluedFair: $208.26Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CME6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Profit MarginProfitability
62.6%10/10

Keeps 63 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
63.8%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 63.8%

Market CapQuality
$112.83B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Debt/EquityHealth
0.129/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

EPS GrowthGrowth
35.0%8/10

Earnings expanding 35.0% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.10B8/10

Generating 1.1B in free cash flow

COIN4 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
430.6%10/10

Earnings expanding 430.6% YoY

Market CapQuality
$54.83B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

PEG RatioValuation
0.788/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.07B8/10

Generating 3.1B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CME3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
28.1x4/10

Moderate valuation

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
5.932/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

COIN4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.784/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
45.7x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-22.2%2/10

Revenue declined 22.2%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CME

The strongest argument for CME centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 62.6% and operating margin at 63.8%.

Bull Case : COIN

The strongest argument for COIN centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, PEG Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.3% and operating margin at 11.3%. PEG of 0.78 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CME

The primary concerns for CME are P/E Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : COIN

The primary concerns for COIN are Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 45.7x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CME profiles as a mature stock while COIN is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

COIN carries more volatility with a beta of 3.71 — expect wider price swings.

CME is growing revenue faster at 8.0% — sustainability is the question.

COIN generates stronger free cash flow (3.1B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CME scores higher overall (63/100 vs 60/100), backed by strong 62.6% margins. COIN offers better value entry with a 26.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CME Group Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · FINANCIAL DATA & STOCK EXCHANGES · USA

CME Group Inc. (Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Chicago Board of Trade, New York Mercantile Exchange, The Commodity Exchange) is an American global markets company. It is the world's largest financial derivatives exchange, and trades in asset classes that include agricultural products, currencies, energy, interest rates, metals, stock indexes and cryptocurrencies futures.

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Coinbase Global Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · FINANCIAL DATA & STOCK EXCHANGES · USA

Coinbase Global, Inc. provides financial infrastructure and technology for the crypto economy. The company is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.

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