WallStSmart

Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Clearwater Paper Corporation generates 342% more annual revenue ($1.54B vs $347.57M). CLW leads profitability with a -1.6% profit margin vs -20.5%. CLW earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 47/100 (D+).

CLW

Hold

47

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 5.7Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.53

MP

Avoid

28

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 4.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.53
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CLWUndervalued (+44.2%)

Margin of Safety

+44.2%

Fair Value

$31.31

Current Price

$15.39

$15.92 discount

UndervaluedFair: $31.31Overvalued
MPSignificantly Overvalued (-55.4%)

Margin of Safety

-55.4%

Fair Value

$37.03

Current Price

$65.45

$28.42 premium

UndervaluedFair: $37.03Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CLW3 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
Price/BookValuation
0.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
1025.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 1025.0% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
0.109/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
118.6%10/10

Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

CLW4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Market CapQuality
$257.84M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

PEG RatioValuation
3.212/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
-3.1%2/10

ROE of -3.1% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-4.7%2/10

Revenue declined 4.7%

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.534/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Return on EquityProfitability
-3.0%2/10

ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-79.28M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CLW

The strongest argument for CLW centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity.

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CLW

The primary concerns for CLW are Market Cap, PEG Ratio, Return on Equity.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CLW profiles as a turnaround stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.84 — expect wider price swings.

MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.

CLW generates stronger free cash flow (-9M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CLW scores higher overall (47/100 vs 28/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Clearwater Paper Corporation

BASIC MATERIALS · PAPER & PAPER PRODUCTS · USA

Clearwater Paper Corporation produces and sells private label bleached paperboard and tissue products in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Spokane, Washington.

Visit Website →

MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?