Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
CGAU
Centerra Gold Inc
$15.27
-9.59%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.21B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$65.45
+1.23%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.25B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Centerra Gold Inc generates 352% more annual revenue ($1.57B vs $347.57M). CGAU leads profitability with a 40.3% profit margin vs -20.5%. CGAU earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).
CGAU
Strong Buy78
out of 100
Grade: B+
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for CGAU.
Margin of Safety
-55.4%
Fair Value
$37.03
Current Price
$65.45
$28.42 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit
Keeps 40 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Revenue surging 61.8% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 190.3% YoY
Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Weak financial health signals
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CGAU
The strongest argument for CGAU centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 40.3% and operating margin at 22.4%. Revenue growth of 61.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CGAU
The primary concerns for CGAU are Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CGAU profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.84 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.
CGAU generates stronger free cash flow (48M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CGAU scores higher overall (78/100 vs 28/100), backed by strong 40.3% margins and 61.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Centerra Gold Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · GOLD · USA
Centerra Gold Inc., a gold mining company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development and operation of gold and copper properties in North America, Asia and internationally. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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