Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
CGAU
Centerra Gold Inc
$17.47
-3.16%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.50B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$61.30
-0.65%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.89B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Centerra Gold Inc generates 403% more annual revenue ($1.38B vs $275.46M). CGAU leads profitability with a 42.2% profit margin vs -31.2%. CGAU earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 80/100 (A-).
CGAU
Exceptional Buy80
out of 100
Grade: A-
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-55.0%
Fair Value
$12.80
Current Price
$17.47
$4.67 premium
Intrinsic value data unavailable for MP.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 31 in profit
Keeps 42 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Strong operational efficiency at 90.1%
Revenue surging 32.8% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 991.0% YoY
Revenue surging 70.0% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
No major concerns identified
ROE of -5.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CGAU
The strongest argument for CGAU centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 42.2% and operating margin at 90.1%. Revenue growth of 32.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 70.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CGAU
No major red flags identified for CGAU, but monitor valuation.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CGAU profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.68 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 70.0% — sustainability is the question.
CGAU generates stronger free cash flow (11M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CGAU scores higher overall (80/100 vs 28/100), backed by strong 42.2% margins and 32.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Centerra Gold Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · GOLD · USA
Centerra Gold Inc., a gold mining company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development and operation of gold and copper properties in North America, Asia and internationally. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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