CareDx Inc (CDNA)vsNovartis AG ADR (NVS)
CDNA
CareDx Inc
$47.31
+0.17%
HEALTHCARE · Cap: $2.35B
NVS
Novartis AG ADR
$154.61
-1.48%
HEALTHCARE · Cap: $291.32B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Novartis AG ADR generates 12276% more annual revenue ($56.69B vs $458.09M). CDNA leads profitability with a 24.2% profit margin vs 22.5%. CDNA trades at a lower P/E of 22.6x. CDNA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).
CDNA
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
NVS
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+68.3%
Fair Value
$62.15
Current Price
$47.31
$14.84 discount
Margin of Safety
-63.9%
Fair Value
$92.92
Current Price
$154.61
$61.69 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 52.2% year-over-year
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Mega-cap, among the largest globally
Every $100 of equity generates 31 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 34.6%
Keeps 23 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Generating 5.6B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
0.0% earnings growth
Operating margin of 0.2%
ROE of -2.6% — below average capital efficiency
Distress zone — elevated risk
0.8% revenue growth
Grey zone — moderate risk
Elevated debt levels
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CDNA
The strongest argument for CDNA centers on Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 24.2% and operating margin at 0.2%. Revenue growth of 52.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : NVS
The strongest argument for NVS centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.5% and operating margin at 34.6%.
Bear Case : CDNA
The primary concerns for CDNA are EPS Growth, Operating Margin, Return on Equity.
Bear Case : NVS
The primary concerns for NVS are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CDNA profiles as a growth stock while NVS is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
CDNA carries more volatility with a beta of 2.42 — expect wider price swings.
CDNA is growing revenue faster at 52.2% — sustainability is the question.
NVS generates stronger free cash flow (5.6B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CDNA scores higher overall (53/100 vs 51/100), backed by strong 24.2% margins and 52.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CareDx Inc
HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA
CareDx, Inc. discovers, develops and markets diagnostic solutions for transplant patients and caregivers globally. The company is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
Novartis AG ADR
HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA
Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures and markets medical devices worldwide. The company is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.
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