WallStSmart

CareDx Inc (CDNA)vsNatera Inc (NTRA)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Natera Inc generates 485% more annual revenue ($2.91B vs $497.40M). CDNA leads profitability with a 25.9% profit margin vs -5.7%. CDNA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

CDNA

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 8.7Profit: 5.5Value: 6.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.36

NTRA

Avoid

31

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 8.0Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.82
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CDNAUndervalued (+70.0%)

Margin of Safety

+70.0%

Fair Value

$65.83

Current Price

$79.81

$13.98 discount

UndervaluedFair: $65.83Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for NTRA.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CDNA4 strengths · Avg: 9.8/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
39.3%10/10

Revenue surging 39.3% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
1067.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 1067.0% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0610/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Profit MarginProfitability
25.9%9/10

Keeps 26 of every $100 in revenue as profit

NTRA2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
34.1%10/10

Revenue surging 34.1% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.139/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

CDNA4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
36.9x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
9.0x4/10

Trading at 9.0x book value

Return on EquityProfitability
-2.6%2/10

ROE of -2.6% — below average capital efficiency

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.362/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

NTRA4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Price/BookValuation
24.9x2/10

Trading at 24.9x book value

Return on EquityProfitability
-10.6%2/10

ROE of -10.6% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CDNA

The strongest argument for CDNA centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.9% and operating margin at 8.5%. Revenue growth of 39.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : NTRA

The strongest argument for NTRA centers on Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 34.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CDNA

The primary concerns for CDNA are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Return on Equity.

Bear Case : NTRA

The primary concerns for NTRA are EPS Growth, Piotroski F-Score, Price/Book.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CDNA profiles as a growth stock while NTRA is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

CDNA carries more volatility with a beta of 2.38 — expect wider price swings.

CDNA is growing revenue faster at 39.3% — sustainability is the question.

CDNA generates stronger free cash flow (11M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CDNA scores higher overall (60/100 vs 31/100), backed by strong 25.9% margins and 39.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CareDx Inc

HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA

CareDx, Inc. discovers, develops and markets diagnostic solutions for transplant patients and caregivers globally. The company is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

Natera Inc

HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA

Natera, Inc., a diagnostic company, develops and markets molecular testing services globally. The company is headquartered in San Carlos, California.

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