WallStSmart

CareDx Inc (CDNA)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Eli Lilly and Company generates 17291% more annual revenue ($79.67B vs $458.09M). LLY leads profitability with a 33.5% profit margin vs 24.2%. CDNA trades at a lower P/E of 26.1x. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).

CDNA

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 4.0Value: 7.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.36

LLY

Strong Buy

76

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 9.3Profit: 10.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.16
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CDNAUndervalued (+68.0%)

Margin of Safety

+68.0%

Fair Value

$61.69

Current Price

$63.68

$1.99 discount

UndervaluedFair: $61.69Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LLY.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CDNA3 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
52.2%10/10

Revenue surging 52.2% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0510/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Profit MarginProfitability
24.2%9/10

Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
Market CapQuality
$1.03T10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
78.8%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 79 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
33.5%10/10

Keeps 34 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
54.2%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 54.2%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
47.7%10/10

Revenue surging 47.7% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
26.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 26.2% YoY

Areas to Watch

CDNA4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
26.1x4/10

Moderate valuation

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Operating MarginProfitability
0.2%3/10

Operating margin of 0.2%

Return on EquityProfitability
-2.6%2/10

ROE of -2.6% — below average capital efficiency

LLY3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
39.2x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Debt/EquityHealth
1.623/10

Elevated debt levels

Price/BookValuation
31.1x2/10

Trading at 31.1x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CDNA

The strongest argument for CDNA centers on Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 24.2% and operating margin at 0.2%. Revenue growth of 52.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 33.5% and operating margin at 54.2%. Revenue growth of 47.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CDNA

The primary concerns for CDNA are P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Operating Margin.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are P/E Ratio, Debt/Equity, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 1.62 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CDNA carries more volatility with a beta of 2.43 — expect wider price swings.

CDNA is growing revenue faster at 52.2% — sustainability is the question.

LLY generates stronger free cash flow (7.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (76/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 33.5% margins and 47.7% revenue growth. CDNA offers better value entry with a 68.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CareDx Inc

HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA

CareDx, Inc. discovers, develops and markets diagnostic solutions for transplant patients and caregivers globally. The company is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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