WallStSmart

CareDx Inc (CDNA)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Eli Lilly and Company generates 17401% more annual revenue ($72.25B vs $412.82M). LLY leads profitability with a 35.0% profit margin vs -2.0%. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

CDNA

Hold

37

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 6.7Profit: 2.5Value: 6.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.40

LLY

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 10.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.06
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CDNAUndervalued (+57.7%)

Margin of Safety

+57.7%

Fair Value

$46.59

Current Price

$28.82

$17.77 discount

UndervaluedFair: $46.59Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LLY.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CDNA2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
39.0%10/10

Revenue surging 39.0% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0810/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Market CapQuality
$1.08T10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
81.0%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 81 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
35.0%10/10

Keeps 35 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
49.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 49.4%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
55.5%10/10

Revenue surging 55.5% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
169.9%10/10

Earnings expanding 169.9% YoY

Areas to Watch

CDNA4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$1.20B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Operating MarginProfitability
1.5%3/10

Operating margin of 1.5%

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

LLY3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Debt/EquityHealth
1.393/10

Elevated debt levels

P/E RatioValuation
42.9x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
34.6x2/10

Trading at 34.6x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CDNA

The strongest argument for CDNA centers on Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 39.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 35.0% and operating margin at 49.4%. Revenue growth of 55.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CDNA

The primary concerns for CDNA are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Operating Margin.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. A P/E of 42.9x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CDNA profiles as a hypergrowth stock while LLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

CDNA carries more volatility with a beta of 2.48 — expect wider price swings.

LLY is growing revenue faster at 55.5% — sustainability is the question.

LLY generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (78/100 vs 37/100), backed by strong 35.0% margins and 55.5% revenue growth. CDNA offers better value entry with a 57.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CareDx Inc

HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA

CareDx, Inc. discovers, develops and markets diagnostic solutions for transplant patients and caregivers globally. The company is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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