WallStSmart

CareDx Inc (CDNA)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Eli Lilly and Company generates 17283% more annual revenue ($86.46B vs $497.40M). LLY leads profitability with a 31.9% profit margin vs 25.9%. CDNA trades at a lower P/E of 36.9x. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).

CDNA

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 8.7Profit: 5.5Value: 6.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.36

LLY

Strong Buy

74

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 9.3Profit: 10.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.16
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CDNAUndervalued (+70.0%)

Margin of Safety

+70.0%

Fair Value

$65.83

Current Price

$79.81

$13.98 discount

UndervaluedFair: $65.83Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LLY.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CDNA4 strengths · Avg: 9.8/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
39.3%10/10

Revenue surging 39.3% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
1067.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 1067.0% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0610/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Profit MarginProfitability
25.9%9/10

Keeps 26 of every $100 in revenue as profit

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
Market CapQuality
$1.26T10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
68.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 68 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
31.9%10/10

Keeps 32 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
53.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 53.7%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
38.6%10/10

Revenue surging 38.6% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$8.22B8/10

Generating 8.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CDNA4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
36.9x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
9.0x4/10

Trading at 9.0x book value

Return on EquityProfitability
-2.6%2/10

ROE of -2.6% — below average capital efficiency

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.362/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

LLY3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Debt/EquityHealth
1.233/10

Elevated debt levels

P/E RatioValuation
46.0x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
31.6x2/10

Trading at 31.6x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CDNA

The strongest argument for CDNA centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.9% and operating margin at 8.5%. Revenue growth of 39.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 31.9% and operating margin at 53.7%. Revenue growth of 38.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CDNA

The primary concerns for CDNA are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Return on Equity.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. A P/E of 46.0x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CDNA carries more volatility with a beta of 2.38 — expect wider price swings.

CDNA is growing revenue faster at 39.3% — sustainability is the question.

LLY generates stronger free cash flow (8.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (74/100 vs 60/100), backed by strong 31.9% margins and 38.6% revenue growth. CDNA offers better value entry with a 70.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CareDx Inc

HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA

CareDx, Inc. discovers, develops and markets diagnostic solutions for transplant patients and caregivers globally. The company is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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