Carnival Corporation (CCL)vsExpedia Group Inc. (EXPE)
CCL
Carnival Corporation
$29.58
-0.03%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $37.73B
EXPE
Expedia Group Inc.
$259.24
-4.86%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $33.07B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Carnival Corporation generates 76% more annual revenue ($27.59B vs $15.70B). EXPE leads profitability with a 13.0% profit margin vs 11.4%. EXPE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.73. EXPE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 72/100 (B).
CCL
Strong Buy71
out of 100
Grade: B
EXPE
Strong Buy72
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+16.5%
Fair Value
$39.62
Current Price
$29.58
$10.04 discount
Margin of Safety
-8.3%
Fair Value
$215.59
Current Price
$259.24
$43.65 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 22 in profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 26.4%
Every $100 of equity generates 128 in profit
Earnings expanding 188.7% YoY
Growing faster than its price suggests
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Areas to Watch
3.5% revenue growth
Elevated debt levels
Distress zone — elevated risk
Trading at 25.7x book value
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CCL
The strongest argument for CCL centers on Return on Equity, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. PEG of 0.95 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : EXPE
The strongest argument for EXPE centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 14.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.73 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CCL
The primary concerns for CCL are Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 1.77 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : EXPE
The primary concerns for EXPE are Price/Book, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.44 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CCL carries more volatility with a beta of 2.38 — expect wider price swings.
EXPE is growing revenue faster at 14.0% — sustainability is the question.
CCL generates stronger free cash flow (712M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor TRAVEL SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
EXPE scores higher overall (72/100 vs 71/100) and 14.0% revenue growth. CCL offers better value entry with a 16.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Carnival Corporation
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · TRAVEL SERVICES · USA
Carnival Corporation & plc is a British-American cruise operator, currently the world's largest travel leisure company, with a combined fleet of over 100 vessels across 10 cruise line brands.
Visit Website →Expedia Group Inc.
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · TRAVEL SERVICES · USA
Expedia Group, Inc. is an American online travel shopping company for consumer and small business travel. Its websites, which are primarily travel fare aggregators and travel metasearch engines, include Expedia.com, Vrbo (previously HomeAway), Hotels.com, Hotwire.com, Orbitz, Travelocity, trivago and CarRentals.com.
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