The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)vsChipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)
CAKE
The Cheesecake Factory
$56.32
-1.18%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $2.81B
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
$32.50
-0.79%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $42.97B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 218% more annual revenue ($11.93B vs $3.75B). CMG leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 4.0%. CAKE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.19. CMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).
CAKE
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
CMG
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-195.9%
Fair Value
$20.81
Current Price
$56.32
$35.51 premium
Margin of Safety
-147.3%
Fair Value
$15.05
Current Price
$32.50
$17.45 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit
Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit
Areas to Watch
4.4% revenue growth
Grey zone — moderate risk
4.0% margin — thin
Earnings declined 27.9%
Expensive relative to growth rate
Moderate valuation
Trading at 15.0x book value
4.9% revenue growth
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CAKE
The strongest argument for CAKE centers on Return on Equity. PEG of 1.19 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : CMG
The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.
Bear Case : CAKE
The primary concerns for CAKE are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. Thin 4.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : CMG
The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.02 — expect wider price swings.
CMG is growing revenue faster at 4.9% — sustainability is the question.
CMG generates stronger free cash flow (228M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
CMG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 52/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
The Cheesecake Factory
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates restaurants. The company is headquartered in Calabasas, California.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.
Visit Website →Compare with Other RESTAURANTS Stocks
Want to dig deeper into these stocks?