WallStSmart

Burlington Stores Inc (BURL)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 53% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $11.56B). VST leads profitability with a 5.3% profit margin vs 5.3%. BURL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.92. BURL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

BURL

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 6.5Value: 5.3Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.04

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

BURLOvervalued (-13.2%)

Margin of Safety

-13.2%

Fair Value

$270.17

Current Price

$304.51

$34.34 premium

UndervaluedFair: $270.17Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-53.3%)

Margin of Safety

-53.3%

Fair Value

$101.06

Current Price

$147.72

$46.66 premium

UndervaluedFair: $101.06Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BURL3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Return on EquityProfitability
38.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.928/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

EPS GrowthGrowth
20.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 20.2% YoY

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$52.12B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

BURL4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
32.3x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
10.4x4/10

Trading at 10.4x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-62.12M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
19.1x4/10

Trading at 19.1x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
70.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BURL

The strongest argument for BURL centers on Return on Equity, PEG Ratio, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 11.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.92 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : BURL

The primary concerns for BURL are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BURL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.48 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

BURL generates stronger free cash flow (-62M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor APPAREL RETAIL industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

BURL scores higher overall (69/100 vs 53/100) and 11.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Burlington Stores Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · APPAREL RETAIL · USA

Burlington Stores, Inc. is a branded apparel retailer in the United States. The company is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.

Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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