BHP Group Limited (BHP)vsWarrior Met Coal Inc (HCC)
BHP
BHP Group Limited
$79.30
+2.91%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $201.45B
HCC
Warrior Met Coal Inc
$90.03
+0.55%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $4.75B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
BHP Group Limited generates 4016% more annual revenue ($53.99B vs $1.31B). BHP leads profitability with a 19.0% profit margin vs 4.3%. BHP trades at a lower P/E of 19.7x. BHP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).
BHP
Buy65
out of 100
Grade: C+
HCC
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-84.5%
Fair Value
$43.18
Current Price
$79.30
$36.12 premium
Margin of Safety
-41.4%
Fair Value
$64.09
Current Price
$90.03
$25.94 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Mega-cap, among the largest globally
Strong operational efficiency at 40.7%
Every $100 of equity generates 25 in profit
Earnings expanding 27.5% YoY
Generating 4.3B in free cash flow
Earnings expanding 1918.0% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 29.4% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 2.7% — below average capital efficiency
4.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : BHP
The strongest argument for BHP centers on Market Cap, Operating Margin, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 40.7%. Revenue growth of 10.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : HCC
The strongest argument for HCC centers on EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 29.4% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : BHP
The primary concerns for BHP are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : HCC
The primary concerns for HCC are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 83.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 4.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
BHP profiles as a mature stock while HCC is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
BHP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.80 — expect wider price swings.
HCC is growing revenue faster at 29.4% — sustainability is the question.
BHP generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
BHP scores higher overall (65/100 vs 51/100), backed by strong 19.0% margins and 10.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
BHP Group Limited
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
BHP Group engages in the natural resources business in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America and internationally. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
Warrior Met Coal Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · COKING COAL · USA
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. produces and exports non-thermal metallurgical coal for the steel industry. The company is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.
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