Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC)vsRio Tinto ADR (RIO)
HCC
Warrior Met Coal Inc
$90.03
+0.55%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $4.75B
RIO
Rio Tinto ADR
$100.48
+4.14%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $163.40B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Rio Tinto ADR generates 4294% more annual revenue ($57.64B vs $1.31B). RIO leads profitability with a 17.3% profit margin vs 4.3%. RIO trades at a lower P/E of 16.5x. RIO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).
HCC
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
RIO
Buy54
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-41.4%
Fair Value
$64.09
Current Price
$90.03
$25.94 premium
Margin of Safety
+14.1%
Fair Value
$114.19
Current Price
$100.48
$13.71 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 1918.0% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 29.4% year-over-year
Large-cap with strong market position
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 25.3%
Generating 2.5B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
ROE of 2.7% — below average capital efficiency
4.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Expensive relative to growth rate
Earnings declined 5.6%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : HCC
The strongest argument for HCC centers on EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 29.4% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : RIO
The strongest argument for RIO centers on Market Cap, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.3% and operating margin at 25.3%. Revenue growth of 14.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : HCC
The primary concerns for HCC are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 83.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 4.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : RIO
The primary concerns for RIO are PEG Ratio, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HCC profiles as a growth stock while RIO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
HCC carries more volatility with a beta of 0.69 — expect wider price swings.
HCC is growing revenue faster at 29.4% — sustainability is the question.
RIO generates stronger free cash flow (2.5B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
RIO scores higher overall (54/100 vs 51/100), backed by strong 17.3% margins and 14.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Warrior Met Coal Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · COKING COAL · USA
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. produces and exports non-thermal metallurgical coal for the steel industry. The company is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.
Visit Website →Rio Tinto ADR
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
Rio Tinto Group is dedicated to the exploration, extraction and processing of mineral resources worldwide. The company is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
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