WallStSmart

American Express Company (AXP)vsUBS Group AG (UBS)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

American Express Company generates 35% more annual revenue ($66.97B vs $49.60B). AXP leads profitability with a 16.2% profit margin vs 15.7%. UBS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.44. UBS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 77/100 (B+).

AXP

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 8.0Value: 10.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.13

UBS

Strong Buy

77

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.0Value: 10.0Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AXPUndervalued (+41.4%)

Margin of Safety

+41.4%

Fair Value

$512.74

Current Price

$300.24

$212.50 discount

UndervaluedFair: $512.74Overvalued
UBSUndervalued (+61.2%)

Margin of Safety

+61.2%

Fair Value

$109.04

Current Price

$38.10

$70.94 discount

UndervaluedFair: $109.04Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AXP3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Market CapQuality
$208.03B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
34.0%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.35B8/10

Generating 2.3B in free cash flow

UBS6 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.4410/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
54.6%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 54.6%

EPS GrowthGrowth
58.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 58.0% YoY

Market CapQuality
$116.88B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
15.9x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

AXP3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.524/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Debt/EquityHealth
1.733/10

Elevated debt levels

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.132/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

UBS1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Free Cash FlowQuality
$-11.34B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AXP

The strongest argument for AXP centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Free Cash Flow. Profitability is solid with margins at 16.2% and operating margin at 17.5%. Revenue growth of 10.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : UBS

The strongest argument for UBS centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.7% and operating margin at 54.6%. Revenue growth of 12.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AXP

The primary concerns for AXP are PEG Ratio, Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 1.73 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : UBS

The primary concerns for UBS are Free Cash Flow.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AXP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.15 — expect wider price swings.

UBS is growing revenue faster at 12.4% — sustainability is the question.

AXP generates stronger free cash flow (2.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor CREDIT SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

UBS scores higher overall (77/100 vs 66/100), backed by strong 15.7% margins and 12.4% revenue growth. AXP offers better value entry with a 41.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American Express Company

FINANCIAL SERVICES · CREDIT SERVICES · USA

The American Express Company is a multinational financial services corporation headquartered at 200 Vesey Street in the Battery Park City neighborhood of Lower Manhattan in New York City.

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UBS Group AG

FINANCIAL SERVICES · BANKS - DIVERSIFIED · USA

UBS Group AG, provides advice and financial solutions to private, institutional and corporate clients worldwide. The company is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

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