WallStSmart

American States Water Company (AWR)vsShopify Inc (SHOP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Shopify Inc generates 1656% more annual revenue ($11.56B vs $658.07M). AWR leads profitability with a 19.8% profit margin vs 10.6%. SHOP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.41. AWR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).

AWR

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.17

SHOP

Buy

50

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 4.7Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 4.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AWRFair Value (-3.5%)

Margin of Safety

-3.5%

Fair Value

$68.58

Current Price

$75.84

$7.26 premium

UndervaluedFair: $68.58Overvalued
SHOPUndervalued (+20.9%)

Margin of Safety

+20.9%

Fair Value

$147.83

Current Price

$127.67

$20.16 discount

UndervaluedFair: $147.83Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AWR2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
28.8%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 28.8%

SHOP5 strengths · Avg: 9.4/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
30.6%10/10

Revenue surging 30.6% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0910/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.7310/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Market CapQuality
$157.59B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Operating MarginProfitability
20.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 20.3%

Areas to Watch

AWR4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
2.712/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
-1.2%2/10

Earnings declined 1.2%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-35.98M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

SHOP4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.414/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
12.4x4/10

Trading at 12.4x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
128.9x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AWR

The strongest argument for AWR centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.8% and operating margin at 28.8%. Revenue growth of 14.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : SHOP

The strongest argument for SHOP centers on Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score. Revenue growth of 30.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AWR

The primary concerns for AWR are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : SHOP

The primary concerns for SHOP are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 128.9x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AWR profiles as a mature stock while SHOP is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

SHOP carries more volatility with a beta of 2.82 — expect wider price swings.

SHOP is growing revenue faster at 30.6% — sustainability is the question.

SHOP generates stronger free cash flow (715M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AWR scores higher overall (56/100 vs 50/100), backed by strong 19.8% margins and 14.8% revenue growth. SHOP offers better value entry with a 20.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American States Water Company

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED WATER · USA

American States Water Company provides water and electricity services to residential, commercial, industrial and other customers in the United States. The company is headquartered in San Dimas, California.

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Shopify Inc

TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION · USA

Shopify Inc., a commerce company, offers a commerce and service platform in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, Latin America, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.

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