WallStSmart

American Water Works (AWK)vsShopify Inc (SHOP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Shopify Inc generates 122% more annual revenue ($11.56B vs $5.21B). AWK leads profitability with a 21.2% profit margin vs 10.6%. AWK appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.30. AWK earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

AWK

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 3.3
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.64

SHOP

Buy

50

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 4.7Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 4.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AWKOvervalued (-10.7%)

Margin of Safety

-10.7%

Fair Value

$111.75

Current Price

$125.68

$13.93 premium

UndervaluedFair: $111.75Overvalued
SHOPUndervalued (+20.9%)

Margin of Safety

+20.9%

Fair Value

$147.83

Current Price

$127.67

$20.16 discount

UndervaluedFair: $147.83Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AWK3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
33.2%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 33.2%

Profit MarginProfitability
21.2%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

SHOP5 strengths · Avg: 9.4/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
30.6%10/10

Revenue surging 30.6% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0910/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.7310/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Market CapQuality
$157.59B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Operating MarginProfitability
20.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 20.3%

Areas to Watch

AWK4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.304/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-4.8%2/10

Earnings declined 4.8%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-354.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

SHOP4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.414/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
12.4x4/10

Trading at 12.4x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
128.9x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AWK

The strongest argument for AWK centers on Operating Margin, Profit Margin, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 21.2% and operating margin at 33.2%.

Bull Case : SHOP

The strongest argument for SHOP centers on Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score. Revenue growth of 30.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AWK

The primary concerns for AWK are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : SHOP

The primary concerns for SHOP are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 128.9x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AWK profiles as a mature stock while SHOP is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

SHOP carries more volatility with a beta of 2.82 — expect wider price swings.

SHOP is growing revenue faster at 30.6% — sustainability is the question.

SHOP generates stronger free cash flow (715M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AWK scores higher overall (60/100 vs 50/100), backed by strong 21.2% margins. SHOP offers better value entry with a 20.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American Water Works

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED WATER · USA

American Water is an American public utility company operating in the United States and Canada.

Shopify Inc

TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION · USA

Shopify Inc., a commerce company, offers a commerce and service platform in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, Latin America, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.

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