WallStSmart

American States Water Company (AWR)vsDuke Energy Corporation (DUK)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Duke Energy Corporation generates 4603% more annual revenue ($32.80B vs $697.48M). AWR leads profitability with a 20.5% profit margin vs 16.0%. DUK appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.37. AWR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 68/100 (B-).

AWR

Strong Buy

68

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.23

DUK

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 7.0Value: 4.0Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.52
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AWROvervalued (-8.8%)

Margin of Safety

-8.8%

Fair Value

$65.22

Current Price

$89.98

$24.76 premium

UndervaluedFair: $65.22Overvalued
DUKSignificantly Overvalued (-89.7%)

Margin of Safety

-89.7%

Fair Value

$67.16

Current Price

$130.08

$62.92 premium

UndervaluedFair: $67.16Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AWR3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
35.8%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 35.8%

Profit MarginProfitability
20.5%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.8%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.8% YoY

DUK3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$99.33B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
27.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 27.5%

Areas to Watch

AWR3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.982/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-174.51M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.232/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

DUK4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.374/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.1%4/10

1.1% revenue growth

Debt/EquityHealth
1.673/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AWR

The strongest argument for AWR centers on Operating Margin, Profit Margin, EPS Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.5% and operating margin at 35.8%. Revenue growth of 11.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : DUK

The strongest argument for DUK centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 16.0% and operating margin at 27.5%.

Bear Case : AWR

The primary concerns for AWR are PEG Ratio, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : DUK

The primary concerns for DUK are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.67 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AWR profiles as a mature stock while DUK is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

AWR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.55 — expect wider price swings.

AWR is growing revenue faster at 11.2% — sustainability is the question.

AWR generates stronger free cash flow (-175M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AWR scores higher overall (68/100 vs 63/100), backed by strong 20.5% margins and 11.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American States Water Company

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED WATER · USA

American States Water Company provides water and electricity services to residential, commercial, industrial and other customers in the United States. The company is headquartered in San Dimas, California.

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Duke Energy Corporation

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC · USA

Duke Energy Corporation is an American electric power and natural gas holding company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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