WallStSmart

American Water Works (AWK)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 264% more annual revenue ($19.21B vs $5.28B). AWK leads profitability with a 21.3% profit margin vs 11.6%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.38. AWK earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).

AWK

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 7.5Value: 4.0Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.59

VST

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 7.0Value: 7.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.60
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AWKSignificantly Overvalued (-22.4%)

Margin of Safety

-22.4%

Fair Value

$101.07

Current Price

$137.69

$36.62 premium

UndervaluedFair: $101.07Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for VST.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AWK3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
40.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.7%

Profit MarginProfitability
21.3%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

VST2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.3810/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

Areas to Watch

AWK4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.494/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Debt/EquityHealth
1.383/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-258.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Price/BookValuation
16.6x4/10

Trading at 16.6x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-5.5%2/10

Revenue declined 5.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-6.2%2/10

Earnings declined 6.2%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AWK

The strongest argument for AWK centers on Operating Margin, Profit Margin, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 21.3% and operating margin at 40.7%.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on PEG Ratio, Return on Equity. PEG of 0.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AWK

The primary concerns for AWK are PEG Ratio, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth. Debt-to-equity of 3.63 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AWK profiles as a mature stock while VST is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.

AWK is growing revenue faster at 6.2% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (133M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AWK scores higher overall (64/100 vs 54/100), backed by strong 21.3% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American Water Works

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED WATER · USA

American Water is an American public utility company operating in the United States and Canada.

Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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