WallStSmart

American Water Works (AWK)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Energy Corp generates 245% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $5.14B). AWK leads profitability with a 21.6% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.36. AWK earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 62/100 (C+).

AWK

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 3.3
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.64

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AWKOvervalued (-12.2%)

Margin of Safety

-12.2%

Fair Value

$110.27

Current Price

$131.97

$21.70 premium

UndervaluedFair: $110.27Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-54.4%)

Margin of Safety

-54.4%

Fair Value

$100.34

Current Price

$153.79

$53.45 premium

UndervaluedFair: $100.34Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AWK3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
32.2%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 32.2%

Profit MarginProfitability
21.6%9/10

Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$53.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

AWK4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.394/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-385.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
19.8x4/10

Trading at 19.8x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
72.4x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AWK

The strongest argument for AWK centers on Operating Margin, Profit Margin, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 21.6% and operating margin at 32.2%.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AWK

The primary concerns for AWK are PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 72.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AWK profiles as a mature stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.50 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (-82M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AWK scores higher overall (62/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 21.6% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American Water Works

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED WATER · USA

American Water is an American public utility company operating in the United States and Canada.

Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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