WallStSmart

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO)vsChipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 155% more annual revenue ($11.93B vs $4.68B). CMG leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 4.5%. ARCO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.54. ARCO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

ARCO

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.37

CMG

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ARCOSignificantly Overvalued (-22.4%)

Margin of Safety

-22.4%

Fair Value

$6.87

Current Price

$8.37

$1.50 premium

UndervaluedFair: $6.87Overvalued
CMGSignificantly Overvalued (-147.3%)

Margin of Safety

-147.3%

Fair Value

$15.05

Current Price

$32.50

$17.45 premium

UndervaluedFair: $15.05Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ARCO4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.3x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
33.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.548/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
47.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit

Areas to Watch

ARCO4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Market CapQuality
$1.76B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
4.5%3/10

4.5% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-56.9%2/10

Earnings declined 56.9%

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.734/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
28.5x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
15.0x4/10

Trading at 15.0x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.9%4/10

4.9% revenue growth

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ARCO

The strongest argument for ARCO centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 10.7% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.54 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bear Case : ARCO

The primary concerns for ARCO are Market Cap, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 2.77 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 4.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.02 — expect wider price swings.

ARCO is growing revenue faster at 10.7% — sustainability is the question.

CMG generates stronger free cash flow (228M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

ARCO scores higher overall (60/100 vs 56/100) and 10.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is a McDonald's restaurant franchise. The company is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

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