WallStSmart

AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC)vsEllington Financial Inc. (EFC)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

AGNC Investment Corp generates 446% more annual revenue ($1.80B vs $329.39M). AGNC leads profitability with a 92.9% profit margin vs 44.6%. EFC appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.86. AGNC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 75/100 (B+).

AGNC

Strong Buy

75

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 8.0Value: 7.3Quality: 3.3
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: -0.95

EFC

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.7Profit: 9.0Value: 7.3Quality: 3.3
Piotroski: 2/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AGNCUndervalued (+83.7%)

Margin of Safety

+83.7%

Fair Value

$70.20

Current Price

$10.14

$60.06 discount

UndervaluedFair: $70.20Overvalued
EFCSignificantly Overvalued (-60.2%)

Margin of Safety

-60.2%

Fair Value

$8.09

Current Price

$11.77

$3.68 premium

UndervaluedFair: $8.09Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AGNC4 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
6.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
92.9%10/10

Keeps 93 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
95.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 95.9%

EFC5 strengths · Avg: 9.6/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
0.9x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
44.6%10/10

Keeps 45 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
32.1%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 32.1%

PEG RatioValuation
0.868/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Areas to Watch

AGNC3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
17.552/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
-0.952/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

EFC4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Market CapQuality
$1.47B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-60.0%2/10

Revenue declined 60.0%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-45.3%2/10

Earnings declined 45.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AGNC

The strongest argument for AGNC centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 92.9% and operating margin at 95.9%.

Bull Case : EFC

The strongest argument for EFC centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 44.6% and operating margin at 32.1%. PEG of 0.86 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AGNC

The primary concerns for AGNC are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : EFC

The primary concerns for EFC are Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth. Debt-to-equity of 8.82 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AGNC profiles as a mature stock while EFC is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

AGNC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.35 — expect wider price swings.

AGNC is growing revenue faster at 5.5% — sustainability is the question.

EFC generates stronger free cash flow (778M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AGNC scores higher overall (75/100 vs 59/100), backed by strong 92.9% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

AGNC Investment Corp

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

AGNC Investment Corp. The company is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

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Ellington Financial Inc.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Ellington Financial Inc., through its subsidiary, Ellington Financial Operating Partnership LLC, acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, business-related and other financial assets in the United States. The company is headquartered in Old Greenwich, Connecticut.

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