WallStSmart

Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)vsAnnaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. generates 553% more annual revenue ($3.25B vs $498.07M). NLY leads profitability with a 90.7% profit margin vs 11.6%. ABR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.65. NLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 77/100 (B+).

ABR

Hold

43

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.7Profit: 4.0Value: 5.3Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.06

NLY

Strong Buy

77

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 9.3Profit: 8.0Value: 5.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: -0.56
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ABRUndervalued (+82.0%)

Margin of Safety

+82.0%

Fair Value

$42.22

Current Price

$4.72

$37.50 discount

UndervaluedFair: $42.22Overvalued
NLYOvervalued (-8.8%)

Margin of Safety

-8.8%

Fair Value

$20.97

Current Price

$21.90

$0.93 premium

UndervaluedFair: $20.97Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ABR1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

NLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
5.5x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
90.7%10/10

Keeps 91 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
91.6%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 91.6%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
479.4%10/10

Revenue surging 479.4% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
3426.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 3426.0% YoY

Areas to Watch

ABR4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.654/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Market CapQuality
$997.42M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
2.1%3/10

ROE of 2.1% — below average capital efficiency

P/E RatioValuation
54.7x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

NLY4 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
32.032/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
-0.562/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
7.381/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ABR

The strongest argument for ABR centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : NLY

The strongest argument for NLY centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 90.7% and operating margin at 91.6%. Revenue growth of 479.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ABR

The primary concerns for ABR are PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Return on Equity. A P/E of 54.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.99 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : NLY

The primary concerns for NLY are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 7.38 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ABR profiles as a declining stock while NLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

NLY carries more volatility with a beta of 1.24 — expect wider price swings.

NLY is growing revenue faster at 479.4% — sustainability is the question.

NLY generates stronger free cash flow (1.4B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NLY scores higher overall (77/100 vs 43/100), backed by strong 90.7% margins and 479.4% revenue growth. ABR offers better value entry with a 82.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Arbor Realty Trust

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. invests in a diversified portfolio of structured financial assets in the commercial, single-family, and multi-family real estate markets in the United States. The company is headquartered in Uniondale, New York.

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Annaly Capital Management, Inc.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a diversified capital manager, invests in and finances residential and commercial assets. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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