WallStSmart

Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)vsAGNC Investment Corp. (AGNCP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

AGNC Investment Corp. generates 203% more annual revenue ($1.60B vs $530.42M). AGNCP leads profitability with a 91.7% profit margin vs 22.4%. AGNCP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 62/100 (C+).

ABR

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.06

AGNCP

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: -0.95
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ABRUndervalued (+83.0%)

Margin of Safety

+83.0%

Fair Value

$44.70

Current Price

$5.25

$39.45 discount

UndervaluedFair: $44.70Overvalued
AGNCPSignificantly Overvalued (-20.7%)

Margin of Safety

-20.7%

Fair Value

$20.75

Current Price

$25.08

$4.33 premium

UndervaluedFair: $20.75Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ABR3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
22.4%9/10

Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit

P/E RatioValuation
14.4x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

AGNCP5 strengths · Avg: 9.6/10
Profit MarginProfitability
91.7%10/10

Keeps 92 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
129.8%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 129.8%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
546.0%10/10

Revenue surging 546.0% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
772.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 772.0% YoY

Price/BookValuation
2.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

ABR4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.654/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Market CapQuality
$1.20B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
4.2%3/10

ROE of 4.2% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-10.3%2/10

Revenue declined 10.3%

AGNCP3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
-0.952/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
8.591/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ABR

The strongest argument for ABR centers on Price/Book, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.4% and operating margin at 18.8%.

Bull Case : AGNCP

The strongest argument for AGNCP centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 91.7% and operating margin at 129.8%. Revenue growth of 546.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ABR

The primary concerns for ABR are PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 3.96 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : AGNCP

The primary concerns for AGNCP are Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 8.59 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ABR profiles as a declining stock while AGNCP is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

AGNCP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.33 — expect wider price swings.

AGNCP is growing revenue faster at 546.0% — sustainability is the question.

AGNCP generates stronger free cash flow (387M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AGNCP scores higher overall (62/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 91.7% margins and 546.0% revenue growth. ABR offers better value entry with a 83.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Arbor Realty Trust

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. invests in a diversified portfolio of structured financial assets in the commercial, single-family, and multi-family real estate markets in the United States. The company is headquartered in Uniondale, New York.

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AGNC Investment Corp.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

AGNC Investment Corp. The company is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

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