Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)vsAGNC Investment Corp. (AGNCP)
ABR
Arbor Realty Trust
$4.72
-1.87%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $997.42M
AGNCP
AGNC Investment Corp.
$25.43
-0.08%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $6.46B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
AGNC Investment Corp. generates 382% more annual revenue ($2.40B vs $498.07M). AGNCP leads profitability with a 94.4% profit margin vs 11.6%. AGNCP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).
ABR
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
AGNCP
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+82.0%
Fair Value
$42.22
Current Price
$4.72
$37.50 discount
Margin of Safety
+17.2%
Fair Value
$30.26
Current Price
$25.43
$4.83 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Keeps 94 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Strong operational efficiency at 95.6%
Revenue surging 546.0% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 772.0% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 2.1% — below average capital efficiency
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Weak financial health signals
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ABR
The strongest argument for ABR centers on Price/Book.
Bull Case : AGNCP
The strongest argument for AGNCP centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 94.4% and operating margin at 95.6%. Revenue growth of 546.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : ABR
The primary concerns for ABR are PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Return on Equity. A P/E of 54.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.99 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : AGNCP
The primary concerns for AGNCP are Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 7.16 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ABR profiles as a declining stock while AGNCP is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
AGNCP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.30 — expect wider price swings.
AGNCP is growing revenue faster at 546.0% — sustainability is the question.
AGNCP generates stronger free cash flow (218M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
AGNCP scores higher overall (64/100 vs 43/100), backed by strong 94.4% margins and 546.0% revenue growth. ABR offers better value entry with a 82.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Arbor Realty Trust
REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. invests in a diversified portfolio of structured financial assets in the commercial, single-family, and multi-family real estate markets in the United States. The company is headquartered in Uniondale, New York.
Visit Website →AGNC Investment Corp.
REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA
AGNC Investment Corp. The company is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Visit Website →Compare with Other REIT - MORTGAGE Stocks
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