WallStSmart

Shopify Inc (SHOP)vsSPS Commerce Inc (SPSC)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Shopify Inc generates 1618% more annual revenue ($13.27B vs $772.49M). SHOP leads profitability with a 14.5% profit margin vs 10.1%. SHOP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.36. SHOP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

SHOP

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 6.69

SPSC

Hold

46

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 6.5Value: 5.3Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 4.66
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

SHOPUndervalued (+22.4%)

Margin of Safety

+22.4%

Fair Value

$150.73

Current Price

$157.49

$6.76 discount

UndervaluedFair: $150.73Overvalued
SPSCUndervalued (+70.8%)

Margin of Safety

+70.8%

Fair Value

$235.04

Current Price

$82.99

$152.05 discount

UndervaluedFair: $235.04Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

SHOP5 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Market CapQuality
$215.16B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Revenue GrowthGrowth
33.7%10/10

Revenue surging 33.7% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
68.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 68.1% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0110/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
6.6910/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

SPSC2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.0110/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.6610/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Areas to Watch

SHOP4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.364/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
16.0x4/10

Trading at 16.0x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
112.0x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

SPSC3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
4.712/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
41.8x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

EPS GrowthGrowth
-63.9%2/10

Earnings declined 63.9%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : SHOP

The strongest argument for SHOP centers on Market Cap, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 33.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : SPSC

The strongest argument for SPSC centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : SHOP

The primary concerns for SHOP are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 112.0x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : SPSC

The primary concerns for SPSC are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, EPS Growth. A P/E of 41.8x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

SHOP profiles as a growth stock while SPSC is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

SHOP carries more volatility with a beta of 2.63 — expect wider price swings.

SHOP is growing revenue faster at 33.7% — sustainability is the question.

SHOP generates stronger free cash flow (654M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

SHOP scores higher overall (63/100 vs 46/100) and 33.7% revenue growth. SPSC offers better value entry with a 70.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Shopify Inc

TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION · USA

Shopify Inc., a commerce company, offers a commerce and service platform in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, Latin America, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.

SPS Commerce Inc

TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION · USA

SPS Commerce, Inc. provides cloud-based supply chain management solutions globally. The company is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

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