WallStSmart

Progressive Corp (PGR)vsWalmart Inc. Common Stock (WMT)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Walmart Inc. Common Stock generates 714% more annual revenue ($713.16B vs $87.64B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 3.1%. WMT appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 4.65. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

WMT

Hold

43

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.7Profit: 5.5Value: 4.7Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 3.62
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued
WMTSignificantly Overvalued (-563.0%)

Margin of Safety

-563.0%

Fair Value

$18.56

Current Price

$123.06

$104.50 premium

UndervaluedFair: $18.56Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

WMT4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Market CapQuality
$973.03B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.6210/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Return on EquityProfitability
21.8%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 22 in profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$6.10B8/10

Generating 6.1B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

WMT4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
9.8x4/10

Trading at 9.8x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
3.1%3/10

3.1% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.6%3/10

Operating margin of 4.6%

PEG RatioValuation
4.652/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : WMT

The strongest argument for WMT centers on Market Cap, Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : WMT

The primary concerns for WMT are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 44.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

WMT carries more volatility with a beta of 0.66 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.

WMT generates stronger free cash flow (6.1B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 43/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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Walmart Inc. Common Stock

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA

Walmart Inc. is an American multinational retail corporation that operates a chain of hypermarkets, discount department stores, and grocery stores from the United States, headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas. It also owns and operates Sam's Club retail warehouses.

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