WallStSmart

Progressive Corp (PGR)vsUnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated generates 411% more annual revenue ($447.57B vs $87.64B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 2.7%. UNH appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.98. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

UNH

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 5.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued
UNHSignificantly Overvalued (-202.7%)

Margin of Safety

-202.7%

Fair Value

$89.96

Current Price

$270.55

$180.59 premium

UndervaluedFair: $89.96Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

UNH3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Market CapQuality
$250.15B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

PEG RatioValuation
0.988/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

UNH3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
Profit MarginProfitability
2.7%3/10

2.7% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
0.3%3/10

Operating margin of 0.3%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-99.9%2/10

Earnings declined 99.9%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : UNH

The strongest argument for UNH centers on Market Cap, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 12.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.98 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : UNH

The primary concerns for UNH are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, EPS Growth. Thin 2.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

UNH carries more volatility with a beta of 0.38 — expect wider price swings.

UNH is growing revenue faster at 12.3% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 59/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

HEALTHCARE · HEALTHCARE PLANS · USA

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated is an American for-profit multinational managed healthcare and insurance company based in Minnetonka, Minnesota. It offers health care products and insurance services. In 2020, it was the second-largest healthcare company (behind CVS Health) by revenue with $257.1 billion, and the largest insurance company by net premiums. UnitedHealthcare revenues comprise 80% of the Group's overall revenue.

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