Progressive Corp (PGR)vsShopify Inc (SHOP)
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
SHOP
Shopify Inc
$118.42
+1.95%
TECHNOLOGY · Cap: $151.59B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Progressive Corp generates 658% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $11.56B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 10.6%. SHOP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 9.56. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
SHOP
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Margin of Safety
-1729.9%
Fair Value
$6.39
Current Price
$118.42
$112.03 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Revenue surging 30.6% year-over-year
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Large-cap with strong market position
Strong operational efficiency at 20.3%
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Trading at 11.5x book value
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SHOP
The strongest argument for SHOP centers on Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score. Revenue growth of 30.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : SHOP
The primary concerns for SHOP are Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio. A P/E of 123.6x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
PGR profiles as a value stock while SHOP is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
SHOP carries more volatility with a beta of 2.90 — expect wider price swings.
SHOP is growing revenue faster at 30.6% — sustainability is the question.
PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 48/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
Visit Website →Shopify Inc
TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION · USA
Shopify Inc., a commerce company, offers a commerce and service platform in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, Latin America, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.
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