WallStSmart

Northwest Natural Gas Co (NWN)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 1386% more annual revenue ($19.21B vs $1.29B). VST leads profitability with a 11.6% profit margin vs 9.7%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.35. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).

NWN

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 5.0Value: 6.7Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.59

VST

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 7.0Value: 7.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.60
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NWNUndervalued (+16.9%)

Margin of Safety

+16.9%

Fair Value

$58.77

Current Price

$46.66

$12.11 discount

UndervaluedFair: $58.77Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for VST.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NWN2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

P/E RatioValuation
16.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

VST2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.3510/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

Areas to Watch

NWN4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.314/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.1%4/10

3.1% revenue growth

Return on EquityProfitability
7.8%3/10

ROE of 7.8% — below average capital efficiency

Debt/EquityHealth
1.733/10

Elevated debt levels

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Price/BookValuation
15.5x4/10

Trading at 15.5x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-5.5%2/10

Revenue declined 5.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-6.2%2/10

Earnings declined 6.2%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NWN

The strongest argument for NWN centers on Price/Book, P/E Ratio.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on PEG Ratio, Return on Equity. PEG of 0.35 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : NWN

The primary concerns for NWN are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.73 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth. Debt-to-equity of 3.63 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NWN profiles as a value stock while VST is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.

NWN is growing revenue faster at 3.1% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (133M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NWN scores higher overall (54/100 vs 54/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Northwest Natural Gas Co

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED GAS · USA

Northwest Natural Holding Company, through its subsidiary, Northwest Natural Gas Company, provides regulated natural gas distribution services to residential, commercial, industrial and transportation customers in Oregon and Southwest Washington. The company is headquartered in Portland, Oregon.

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Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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