WallStSmart

NorthWestern Corporation (NWE)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 981% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $1.64B). NWE leads profitability with a 10.2% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.38. NWE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 55/100 (C).

NWE

Buy

55

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.0Profit: 5.5Value: 4.0Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.75

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NWEOvervalued (-5.1%)

Margin of Safety

-5.1%

Fair Value

$65.14

Current Price

$72.39

$7.25 premium

UndervaluedFair: $65.14Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-52.8%)

Margin of Safety

-52.8%

Fair Value

$101.40

Current Price

$147.72

$46.32 premium

UndervaluedFair: $101.40Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NWE2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
23.0%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 23.0%

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$52.12B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

NWE4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
26.1x4/10

Moderate valuation

Return on EquityProfitability
5.8%3/10

ROE of 5.8% — below average capital efficiency

Debt/EquityHealth
1.143/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
19.1x4/10

Trading at 19.1x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
70.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NWE

The strongest argument for NWE centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : NWE

The primary concerns for NWE are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (156M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

NWE scores higher overall (55/100 vs 53/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

NorthWestern Corporation

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC · USA

NorthWestern Corporation, doing business as NorthWestern Energy, provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial and industrial customers. The company is headquartered in Sioux Falls, South Dakota.

Visit Website →

Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

Visit Website →

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?