WallStSmart

NRG Energy Inc. (NRG)vsWoodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

NRG Energy Inc. generates 137% more annual revenue ($30.71B vs $12.98B). WDS leads profitability with a 20.9% profit margin vs 2.8%. NRG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.29. NRG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).

NRG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.70

WDS

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 4.8
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.37
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NRGSignificantly Overvalued (-490.6%)

Margin of Safety

-490.6%

Fair Value

$27.20

Current Price

$151.04

$123.84 premium

UndervaluedFair: $27.20Overvalued
WDSSignificantly Overvalued (-94.1%)

Margin of Safety

-94.1%

Fair Value

$9.66

Current Price

$23.66

$14.00 premium

UndervaluedFair: $9.66Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NRG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
41.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 42 in profit

WDS3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
20.9%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

P/E RatioValuation
17.1x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

NRG4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
37.8x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.704/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Profit MarginProfitability
2.8%3/10

2.8% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.3%3/10

Operating margin of 4.3%

WDS4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
7.2%3/10

ROE of 7.2% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-11.1%2/10

Revenue declined 11.1%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-14.4%2/10

Earnings declined 14.4%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NRG

The strongest argument for NRG centers on Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 13.7% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.29 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : WDS

The strongest argument for WDS centers on Price/Book, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.9% and operating margin at 19.1%. PEG of 1.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : NRG

The primary concerns for NRG are P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. Thin 2.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : WDS

The primary concerns for WDS are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NRG profiles as a value stock while WDS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

NRG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.26 — expect wider price swings.

NRG is growing revenue faster at 13.7% — sustainability is the question.

WDS generates stronger free cash flow (417M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NRG scores higher overall (54/100 vs 53/100) and 13.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

NRG Energy Inc.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

NRG Energy, Inc. is a large American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas. It was formerly the wholesale arm of Northern States Power Company (NSP), which became Xcel Energy, but became independent in 2000. NRG Energy is involved in energy generation and retail electricity.

Woodside Energy Group Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Woodside Energy Group Ltd is engaged in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing and sale of hydrocarbons in Oceania, Asia, Canada, Africa and internationally. The company is headquartered in Perth, Australia.

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