National CineMedia Inc (NCMI)vsSpotify Technology SA (SPOT)
NCMI
National CineMedia Inc
$3.57
0.00%
COMMUNICATION SERVICES · Cap: $332.92M
SPOT
Spotify Technology SA
$496.95
+0.68%
COMMUNICATION SERVICES · Cap: $99.11B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Spotify Technology SA generates 7134% more annual revenue ($17.53B vs $242.30M). SPOT leads profitability with a 15.4% profit margin vs -3.5%. NCMI appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.70. SPOT earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).
NCMI
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
SPOT
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+49.4%
Fair Value
$6.66
Current Price
$3.57
$3.09 discount
Margin of Safety
-65.0%
Fair Value
$295.16
Current Price
$496.95
$201.79 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Earnings expanding 20.8% YoY
Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit
Earnings expanding 222.4% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Large-cap with strong market position
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -2.4% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 2.6%
Currently unprofitable
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Trading at 10.4x book value
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : NCMI
The strongest argument for NCMI centers on Price/Book, Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.70 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : SPOT
The strongest argument for SPOT centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.4% and operating margin at 15.8%.
Bear Case : NCMI
The primary concerns for NCMI are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : SPOT
The primary concerns for SPOT are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
NCMI profiles as a turnaround stock while SPOT is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
SPOT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.55 — expect wider price swings.
SPOT is growing revenue faster at 8.2% — sustainability is the question.
SPOT generates stronger free cash flow (845M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
SPOT scores higher overall (64/100 vs 52/100), backed by strong 15.4% margins. NCMI offers better value entry with a 49.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
National CineMedia Inc
COMMUNICATION SERVICES · ADVERTISING AGENCIES · USA
National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates a theatrical advertising network in North America. The company is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.
Spotify Technology SA
COMMUNICATION SERVICES · INTERNET CONTENT & INFORMATION · USA
Spotify Technology SA, provides audio streaming services worldwide. The company is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
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