WallStSmart

Medpace Holdings Inc (MEDP)vsNatera Inc (NTRA)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Medpace Holdings Inc generates 7% more annual revenue ($2.68B vs $2.50B). MEDP leads profitability with a 17.2% profit margin vs -9.1%. MEDP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 66/100 (B-).

MEDP

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.7Profit: 9.0Value: 3.3Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.83

NTRA

Avoid

31

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 8.0Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.8
Piotroski: 3/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MEDPSignificantly Overvalued (-50.2%)

Margin of Safety

-50.2%

Fair Value

$282.31

Current Price

$454.25

$171.94 premium

UndervaluedFair: $282.31Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for NTRA.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MEDP4 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
77.0%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 77 in profit

Debt/EquityHealth
0.249/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Operating MarginProfitability
20.0%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 20.0%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
26.5%8/10

Revenue surging 26.5% year-over-year

NTRA2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
38.8%10/10

Revenue surging 38.8% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.149/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

MEDP4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
29.4x4/10

Moderate valuation

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.834/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

PEG RatioValuation
2.872/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
21.7x2/10

Trading at 21.7x book value

NTRA4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Price/BookValuation
17.3x4/10

Trading at 17.3x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Return on EquityProfitability
-12.8%2/10

ROE of -12.8% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MEDP

The strongest argument for MEDP centers on Return on Equity, Debt/Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.2% and operating margin at 20.0%. Revenue growth of 26.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : NTRA

The strongest argument for NTRA centers on Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 38.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : MEDP

The primary concerns for MEDP are P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : NTRA

The primary concerns for NTRA are Price/Book, EPS Growth, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MEDP profiles as a growth stock while NTRA is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

NTRA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.54 — expect wider price swings.

NTRA is growing revenue faster at 38.8% — sustainability is the question.

MEDP generates stronger free cash flow (145M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

MEDP scores higher overall (66/100 vs 31/100), backed by strong 17.2% margins and 26.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Medpace Holdings Inc

HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA

Medpace Holdings, Inc. provides clinical research-based drug and medical device development services in North America, Europe, and Asia. The company is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Natera Inc

HEALTHCARE · DIAGNOSTICS & RESEARCH · USA

Natera, Inc., a diagnostic company, develops and markets molecular testing services globally. The company is headquartered in San Carlos, California.

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