WallStSmart

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 34% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $65.18B). LLY leads profitability with a 31.7% profit margin vs 12.9%. LLY appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.97. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 80/100 (A-).

LLY

Exceptional Buy

80

out of 100

Grade: A-

Growth: 10.0Profit: 10.0Value: 8.7Quality: 8.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.06

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

LLYUndervalued (+14.0%)

Margin of Safety

+14.0%

Fair Value

$1065.17

Current Price

$916.31

$148.86 discount

UndervaluedFair: $1065.17Overvalued
PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Market CapQuality
$808.22B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
101.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 101 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
31.7%10/10

Keeps 32 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
44.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 44.9%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
42.6%10/10

Revenue surging 42.6% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
51.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 51.4% YoY

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

LLY3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
39.7x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Debt/EquityHealth
1.603/10

Elevated debt levels

Price/BookValuation
30.9x2/10

Trading at 30.9x book value

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 31.7% and operating margin at 44.9%. Revenue growth of 42.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are P/E Ratio, Debt/Equity, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 1.60 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

LLY profiles as a growth stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

LLY carries more volatility with a beta of 0.43 — expect wider price swings.

LLY is growing revenue faster at 42.6% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (80/100 vs 67/100), backed by strong 31.7% margins and 42.6% revenue growth. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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