WallStSmart

Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 3493% more annual revenue ($89.42B vs $2.49B). LITE leads profitability with a 17.7% profit margin vs 12.9%. LITE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.63. LITE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).

LITE

Strong Buy

74

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 5.0Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.58

PGR

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

LITE6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
90.1%10/10

Revenue surging 90.1% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
71.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 71.1% YoY

Market CapQuality
$69.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
22.8%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.638/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Operating MarginProfitability
21.8%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 21.8%

PGR4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
37.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit

Market CapQuality
$113.36B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.30B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

LITE3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
156.3x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
76.2x2/10

Trading at 76.2x book value

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.582/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
30.202/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : LITE

The strongest argument for LITE centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.7% and operating margin at 21.8%. Revenue growth of 90.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap.

Bear Case : LITE

The primary concerns for LITE are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 156.3x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

LITE profiles as a growth stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

LITE carries more volatility with a beta of 1.53 — expect wider price swings.

LITE is growing revenue faster at 90.1% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LITE scores higher overall (74/100 vs 61/100), backed by strong 17.7% margins and 90.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Lumentum Holdings Inc

TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA

Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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