Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc
$777.17
-3.09%
TECHNOLOGY · Cap: $57.26B
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Progressive Corp generates 4063% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $2.11B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 11.9%. LITE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.97. LITE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
LITE
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-255.6%
Fair Value
$161.46
Current Price
$777.17
$615.71 premium
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 65.5% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 71.1% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Trading at 65.5x book value
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : LITE
The strongest argument for LITE centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 65.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.97 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : LITE
The primary concerns for LITE are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 232.5x leaves little room for execution misses.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
LITE profiles as a growth stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
LITE carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.
LITE is growing revenue faster at 65.5% — sustainability is the question.
PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
LITE scores higher overall (69/100 vs 67/100) and 65.5% revenue growth. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Lumentum Holdings Inc
TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
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