WallStSmart

Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)vsNRG Energy Inc. (NRG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

NRG Energy Inc. generates 1359% more annual revenue ($30.71B vs $2.11B). LITE leads profitability with a 11.9% profit margin vs 2.8%. LITE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.97. LITE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

LITE

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 4.7Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.58

NRG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.70
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

LITESignificantly Overvalued (-255.6%)

Margin of Safety

-255.6%

Fair Value

$161.46

Current Price

$777.17

$615.71 premium

UndervaluedFair: $161.46Overvalued
NRGSignificantly Overvalued (-490.6%)

Margin of Safety

-490.6%

Fair Value

$27.20

Current Price

$151.04

$123.84 premium

UndervaluedFair: $27.20Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

LITE5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
65.5%10/10

Revenue surging 65.5% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
71.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 71.1% YoY

Market CapQuality
$57.26B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
29.3%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.978/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

NRG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
41.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 42 in profit

Areas to Watch

LITE3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
232.5x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
65.5x2/10

Trading at 65.5x book value

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.582/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

NRG4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
37.8x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.704/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Profit MarginProfitability
2.8%3/10

2.8% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.3%3/10

Operating margin of 4.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : LITE

The strongest argument for LITE centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 65.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.97 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : NRG

The strongest argument for NRG centers on Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 13.7% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.29 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : LITE

The primary concerns for LITE are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 232.5x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : NRG

The primary concerns for NRG are P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. Thin 2.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

LITE profiles as a growth stock while NRG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

LITE carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.

LITE is growing revenue faster at 65.5% — sustainability is the question.

LITE generates stronger free cash flow (51M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LITE scores higher overall (69/100 vs 54/100) and 65.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Lumentum Holdings Inc

TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA

Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.

NRG Energy Inc.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

NRG Energy, Inc. is a large American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas. It was formerly the wholesale arm of Northern States Power Company (NSP), which became Xcel Energy, but became independent in 2000. NRG Energy is involved in energy generation and retail electricity.

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