Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)vsPost Holdings Inc (POST)
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
$30.53
+1.56%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $43.14B
POST
Post Holdings Inc
$90.43
+1.93%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $4.22B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc generates 101% more annual revenue ($16.94B vs $8.45B). KDP leads profitability with a 10.8% profit margin vs 4.0%. KDP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.06. POST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).
KDP
Buy59
out of 100
Grade: C
POST
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+57.1%
Fair Value
$69.64
Current Price
$30.53
$39.11 discount
Margin of Safety
+26.6%
Fair Value
$151.07
Current Price
$90.43
$60.64 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 51.1% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Areas to Watch
ROE of 7.3% — below average capital efficiency
Elevated debt levels
Earnings declined 47.7%
Distress zone — elevated risk
4.7% revenue growth
4.0% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : KDP
The strongest argument for KDP centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : POST
The strongest argument for POST centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.17 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : KDP
The primary concerns for KDP are Return on Equity, Debt/Equity, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : POST
The primary concerns for POST are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 2.39 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 4.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
KDP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.42 — expect wider price swings.
KDP is growing revenue faster at 9.4% — sustainability is the question.
KDP generates stronger free cash flow (165M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
POST scores higher overall (64/100 vs 59/100). KDP offers better value entry with a 57.1% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC · USA
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a beverage company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
Post Holdings Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · PACKAGED FOODS · USA
Post Holdings, Inc. is a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
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