WallStSmart

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)vsNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc generates 1167% more annual revenue ($16.94B vs $1.34B). KDP leads profitability with a 10.8% profit margin vs 3.6%. KDP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.06. KDP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 59/100 (C).

KDP

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.09

NGVC

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.90
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

KDPUndervalued (+57.1%)

Margin of Safety

+57.1%

Fair Value

$69.64

Current Price

$30.53

$39.11 discount

UndervaluedFair: $69.64Overvalued
NGVCUndervalued (+19.8%)

Margin of Safety

+19.8%

Fair Value

$30.83

Current Price

$30.10

$0.73 discount

UndervaluedFair: $30.83Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

KDP1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

NGVC2 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
20.9%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 21 in profit

P/E RatioValuation
14.5x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

KDP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
7.3%3/10

ROE of 7.3% — below average capital efficiency

Debt/EquityHealth
1.023/10

Elevated debt levels

EPS GrowthGrowth
-47.7%2/10

Earnings declined 47.7%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.092/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

NGVC4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.5%4/10

0.5% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
3.6%4/10

3.6% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$693.53M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
3.6%3/10

3.6% margin — thin

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : KDP

The strongest argument for KDP centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : NGVC

The strongest argument for NGVC centers on Return on Equity, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.44 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : KDP

The primary concerns for KDP are Return on Equity, Debt/Equity, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : NGVC

The primary concerns for NGVC are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Thin 3.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NGVC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.29 — expect wider price swings.

KDP is growing revenue faster at 9.4% — sustainability is the question.

KDP generates stronger free cash flow (165M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

KDP scores higher overall (59/100 vs 53/100). NGVC offers better value entry with a 19.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC · USA

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a beverage company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA

Natural Grocers of Vitamin Cottage, Inc., sells natural and organic foods and dietary supplements in the United States. The company is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.

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