Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)vsNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC)
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
$36.63
-0.70%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $47.53B
NGVC
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
$28.61
-2.22%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $674.33M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc generates 1395% more annual revenue ($20.09B vs $1.34B). KDP leads profitability with a 7.1% profit margin vs 3.5%. KDP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.08. KDP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).
KDP
Buy61
out of 100
Grade: C+
NGVC
Buy50
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+62.7%
Fair Value
$80.09
Current Price
$36.63
$43.46 discount
Margin of Safety
+19.4%
Fair Value
$30.68
Current Price
$28.61
$2.07 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 75.6% year-over-year
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
ROE of 6.5% — below average capital efficiency
7.1% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
1.8% revenue growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
3.5% margin — thin
Operating margin of 3.9%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : KDP
The strongest argument for KDP centers on Revenue Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 75.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.08 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : NGVC
The strongest argument for NGVC centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.44 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : KDP
The primary concerns for KDP are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin.
Bear Case : NGVC
The primary concerns for NGVC are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Thin 3.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
KDP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while NGVC is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
NGVC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.25 — expect wider price swings.
KDP is growing revenue faster at 75.6% — sustainability is the question.
KDP generates stronger free cash flow (884M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
KDP scores higher overall (61/100 vs 50/100) and 75.6% revenue growth. NGVC offers better value entry with a 19.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC · USA
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a beverage company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA
Natural Grocers of Vitamin Cottage, Inc., sells natural and organic foods and dietary supplements in the United States. The company is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.
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