Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)vsMGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI)
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
$34.93
+0.20%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $47.11B
MGPI
MGP Ingredients Inc
$17.21
+2.87%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $336.84M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc generates 3918% more annual revenue ($20.09B vs $500.01M). KDP leads profitability with a 7.1% profit margin vs -48.4%. KDP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.98. KDP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).
KDP
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
MGPI
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+62.8%
Fair Value
$80.29
Current Price
$34.93
$45.36 discount
Margin of Safety
+4.3%
Fair Value
$27.32
Current Price
$17.21
$10.11 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 75.6% year-over-year
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
ROE of 5.7% — below average capital efficiency
7.1% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Grey zone — moderate risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -41.2% — below average capital efficiency
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : KDP
The strongest argument for KDP centers on Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 75.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.98 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MGPI
The strongest argument for MGPI centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.13 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : KDP
The primary concerns for KDP are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin.
Bear Case : MGPI
The primary concerns for MGPI are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
KDP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while MGPI is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
MGPI carries more volatility with a beta of 0.48 — expect wider price swings.
KDP is growing revenue faster at 75.6% — sustainability is the question.
KDP generates stronger free cash flow (714M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
KDP scores higher overall (63/100 vs 48/100) and 75.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC · USA
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a beverage company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
MGP Ingredients Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - WINERIES & DISTILLERIES · USA
MGP Ingredients, Inc. produces and supplies distilled spirits and specialty wheat proteins and starch food ingredients. The company is headquartered in Atchison, Kansas.
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