WallStSmart

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)vsMGP Ingredients Inc (MGPI)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc generates 3151% more annual revenue ($16.94B vs $521.15M). KDP leads profitability with a 10.8% profit margin vs -46.0%. KDP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.06. KDP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 59/100 (C).

KDP

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.09

MGPI

Hold

46

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 4.0Value: 5.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.83
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

KDPUndervalued (+57.1%)

Margin of Safety

+57.1%

Fair Value

$69.64

Current Price

$30.53

$39.11 discount

UndervaluedFair: $69.64Overvalued
MGPIUndervalued (+10.6%)

Margin of Safety

+10.6%

Fair Value

$29.26

Current Price

$16.51

$12.75 discount

UndervaluedFair: $29.26Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

KDP1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

MGPI1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.6x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

KDP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
7.3%3/10

ROE of 7.3% — below average capital efficiency

Debt/EquityHealth
1.023/10

Elevated debt levels

EPS GrowthGrowth
-47.7%2/10

Earnings declined 47.7%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.092/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

MGPI4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.834/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Market CapQuality
$352.63M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Return on EquityProfitability
-41.2%2/10

ROE of -41.2% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : KDP

The strongest argument for KDP centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : MGPI

The strongest argument for MGPI centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.15 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : KDP

The primary concerns for KDP are Return on Equity, Debt/Equity, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : MGPI

The primary concerns for MGPI are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

KDP profiles as a value stock while MGPI is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

MGPI carries more volatility with a beta of 0.46 — expect wider price swings.

KDP is growing revenue faster at 9.4% — sustainability is the question.

KDP generates stronger free cash flow (165M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

KDP scores higher overall (59/100 vs 46/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC · USA

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a beverage company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.

MGP Ingredients Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - WINERIES & DISTILLERIES · USA

MGP Ingredients, Inc. produces and supplies distilled spirits and specialty wheat proteins and starch food ingredients. The company is headquartered in Atchison, Kansas.

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