WallStSmart

HCA Holdings Inc (HCA)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

HCA Holdings Inc generates 16% more annual revenue ($75.60B vs $65.18B). LLY leads profitability with a 31.7% profit margin vs 9.0%. LLY appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.97. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 80/100 (A-).

HCA

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 8.0Value: 10.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.71

LLY

Exceptional Buy

80

out of 100

Grade: A-

Growth: 10.0Profit: 10.0Value: 8.7Quality: 8.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.06
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

HCAUndervalued (+59.9%)

Margin of Safety

+59.9%

Fair Value

$1326.31

Current Price

$484.02

$842.29 discount

UndervaluedFair: $1326.31Overvalued
LLYUndervalued (+14.0%)

Margin of Safety

+14.0%

Fair Value

$1065.17

Current Price

$916.31

$148.86 discount

UndervaluedFair: $1065.17Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HCA5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
136.3%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 136 in profit

Debt/EquityHealth
-8.3310/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Market CapQuality
$108.62B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
17.1x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
44.5%8/10

Earnings expanding 44.5% YoY

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Market CapQuality
$808.22B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
101.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 101 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
31.7%10/10

Keeps 32 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
44.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 44.9%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
42.6%10/10

Revenue surging 42.6% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
51.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 51.4% YoY

Areas to Watch

HCA1 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.714/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

LLY3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
39.7x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Debt/EquityHealth
1.603/10

Elevated debt levels

Price/BookValuation
30.9x2/10

Trading at 30.9x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HCA

The strongest argument for HCA centers on Return on Equity, Debt/Equity, Market Cap. PEG of 1.35 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 31.7% and operating margin at 44.9%. Revenue growth of 42.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : HCA

The primary concerns for HCA are Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are P/E Ratio, Debt/Equity, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 1.60 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HCA profiles as a value stock while LLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

HCA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.34 — expect wider price swings.

LLY is growing revenue faster at 42.6% — sustainability is the question.

HCA generates stronger free cash flow (870M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (80/100 vs 69/100), backed by strong 31.7% margins and 42.6% revenue growth. HCA offers better value entry with a 59.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

HCA Holdings Inc

HEALTHCARE · MEDICAL CARE FACILITIES · USA

HCA Healthcare is an American for-profit operator of health care facilities that was founded in 1968. It is based in Nashville, Tennessee, and, as of May 2020, owns and operates 186 hospitals and approximately 2,000 sites of care, including surgery centers, freestanding emergency rooms, urgent care centers and physician clinics in 21 states and the United Kingdom.

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Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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