WallStSmart

Ero Copper Corp (ERO)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 1820% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $923.93M). ERO leads profitability with a 31.6% profit margin vs 5.3%. ERO trades at a lower P/E of 9.7x. ERO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

ERO

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 9.5Value: 7.0Quality: 5.0

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EROUndervalued (+7.2%)

Margin of Safety

+7.2%

Fair Value

$33.93

Current Price

$28.48

$5.45 discount

UndervaluedFair: $33.93Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-53.3%)

Margin of Safety

-53.3%

Fair Value

$101.06

Current Price

$147.72

$46.66 premium

UndervaluedFair: $101.06Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ERO6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
32.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
31.6%10/10

Keeps 32 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
34.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 34.7%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
110.4%10/10

Revenue surging 110.4% year-over-year

Price/BookValuation
2.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$52.12B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

ERO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
19.1x4/10

Trading at 19.1x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
70.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ERO

The strongest argument for ERO centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 31.6% and operating margin at 34.7%. Revenue growth of 110.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ERO

No major red flags identified for ERO, but monitor valuation.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ERO profiles as a growth stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

ERO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.56 — expect wider price swings.

ERO is growing revenue faster at 110.4% — sustainability is the question.

ERO generates stronger free cash flow (20M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ERO scores higher overall (78/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 31.6% margins and 110.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ero Copper Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · COPPER · USA

Ero Copper Corp. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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