WallStSmart

Duke Energy Corporation (DUK)vsNRG Energy Inc. (NRG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Duke Energy Corporation generates 1% more annual revenue ($32.72B vs $32.38B). DUK leads profitability with a 15.7% profit margin vs 0.7%. NRG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.61. DUK earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

DUK

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 7.0Value: 4.0Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.52

NRG

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 5.0Value: 5.0Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.61
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

DUKSignificantly Overvalued (-87.3%)

Margin of Safety

-87.3%

Fair Value

$65.95

Current Price

$124.49

$58.54 premium

UndervaluedFair: $65.95Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for NRG.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

DUK3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$96.89B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
25.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 25.5%

NRG2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.618/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Revenue GrowthGrowth
19.5%8/10

19.5% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

DUK4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.504/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Debt/EquityHealth
1.673/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-5.48B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

NRG4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.614/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Profit MarginProfitability
0.7%3/10

0.7% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.6%3/10

Operating margin of 3.6%

P/E RatioValuation
147.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : DUK

The strongest argument for DUK centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.7% and operating margin at 25.5%. Revenue growth of 11.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : NRG

The strongest argument for NRG centers on PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 19.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.61 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : DUK

The primary concerns for DUK are PEG Ratio, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 1.67 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : NRG

The primary concerns for NRG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 147.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 4.83 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

DUK profiles as a mature stock while NRG is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

NRG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.20 — expect wider price swings.

NRG is growing revenue faster at 19.5% — sustainability is the question.

NRG generates stronger free cash flow (779M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

DUK scores higher overall (67/100 vs 51/100), backed by strong 15.7% margins and 11.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Duke Energy Corporation

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC · USA

Duke Energy Corporation is an American electric power and natural gas holding company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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NRG Energy Inc.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

NRG Energy, Inc. is a large American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas. It was formerly the wholesale arm of Northern States Power Company (NSP), which became Xcel Energy, but became independent in 2000. NRG Energy is involved in energy generation and retail electricity.

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