WallStSmart

Costco Wholesale Corp (COST)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Costco Wholesale Corp generates 339% more annual revenue ($286.27B vs $65.18B). LLY leads profitability with a 31.7% profit margin vs 3.0%. LLY appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.97. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 80/100 (A-).

COST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 6.5Value: 2.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 4.84

LLY

Exceptional Buy

80

out of 100

Grade: A-

Growth: 10.0Profit: 10.0Value: 8.7Quality: 8.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.06
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

COSTSignificantly Overvalued (-74.7%)

Margin of Safety

-74.7%

Fair Value

$558.15

Current Price

$974.86

$416.71 premium

UndervaluedFair: $558.15Overvalued
LLYUndervalued (+14.0%)

Margin of Safety

+14.0%

Fair Value

$1065.17

Current Price

$916.31

$148.86 discount

UndervaluedFair: $1065.17Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

COST5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Market CapQuality
$432.25B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.8410/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Return on EquityProfitability
29.6%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit

Debt/EquityHealth
0.279/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.71B8/10

Generating 1.7B in free cash flow

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Market CapQuality
$808.22B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
101.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 101 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
31.7%10/10

Keeps 32 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
44.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 44.9%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
42.6%10/10

Revenue surging 42.6% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
51.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 51.4% YoY

Areas to Watch

COST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
13.5x4/10

Trading at 13.5x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
3.0%3/10

3.0% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.7%3/10

Operating margin of 3.7%

PEG RatioValuation
5.412/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

LLY3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
39.7x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Debt/EquityHealth
1.603/10

Elevated debt levels

Price/BookValuation
30.9x2/10

Trading at 30.9x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : COST

The strongest argument for COST centers on Market Cap, Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 31.7% and operating margin at 44.9%. Revenue growth of 42.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : COST

The primary concerns for COST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 50.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are P/E Ratio, Debt/Equity, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 1.60 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

COST profiles as a value stock while LLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

COST carries more volatility with a beta of 0.99 — expect wider price swings.

LLY is growing revenue faster at 42.6% — sustainability is the question.

COST generates stronger free cash flow (1.7B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (80/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 31.7% margins and 42.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Costco Wholesale Corp

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA

Costco Wholesale Corporation (doing business as Costco Wholesale and also known simply as Costco) is an American multinational corporation which operates a chain of membership-only (needing a membership to shop there) big-box retail stores. As of 2020, Costco was the fifth largest retailer in the world, and the world's largest retailer of choice and prime beef, organic foods, rotisserie chicken, and wine as of 2016.

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Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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