Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU)vsVale SA ADR (VALE)
CGAU
Centerra Gold Inc
$22.63
+0.13%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $4.63B
VALE
Vale SA ADR
$15.23
-0.33%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $64.99B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Vale SA ADR generates 12548% more annual revenue ($218.07B vs $1.72B). CGAU leads profitability with a 36.9% profit margin vs 4.8%. CGAU trades at a lower P/E of 7.3x. CGAU earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).
CGAU
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B-
VALE
Buy57
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for CGAU.
Margin of Safety
+76.8%
Fair Value
$74.92
Current Price
$15.23
$59.69 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit
Keeps 37 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Revenue surging 53.5% year-over-year
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Growing faster than its price suggests
Large-cap with strong market position
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.0%
Generating 1.2B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
ROE of 5.3% — below average capital efficiency
4.8% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CGAU
The strongest argument for CGAU centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 36.9% and operating margin at 27.2%. Revenue growth of 53.5% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : VALE
The strongest argument for VALE centers on PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Price/Book. PEG of 0.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CGAU
The primary concerns for CGAU are Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : VALE
The primary concerns for VALE are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 4.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CGAU profiles as a growth stock while VALE is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
CGAU carries more volatility with a beta of 1.63 — expect wider price swings.
CGAU is growing revenue faster at 53.5% — sustainability is the question.
VALE generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CGAU scores higher overall (70/100 vs 57/100), backed by strong 36.9% margins and 53.5% revenue growth. VALE offers better value entry with a 76.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Centerra Gold Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · GOLD · USA
Centerra Gold Inc., a gold mining company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development and operation of gold and copper properties in North America, Asia and internationally. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Vale SA ADR
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
Vale SA produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw material in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
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