BHP Group Limited (BHP)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)
BHP
BHP Group Limited
$68.77
+0.82%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $166.46B
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Progressive Corp generates 62% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $53.99B). BHP leads profitability with a 19.0% profit margin vs 12.9%. BHP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 5.95. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).
BHP
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+57.8%
Fair Value
$188.60
Current Price
$68.77
$119.83 discount
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Strong operational efficiency at 40.7%
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 25 in profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 27.5% YoY
Generating 4.3B in free cash flow
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : BHP
The strongest argument for BHP centers on Operating Margin, Market Cap, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 40.7%. Revenue growth of 10.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : BHP
The primary concerns for BHP are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
BHP profiles as a mature stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
BHP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.74 — expect wider price swings.
PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.
BHP generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 64/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. BHP offers better value entry with a 57.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
BHP Group Limited
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
BHP Group engages in the natural resources business in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America and internationally. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
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