WallStSmart

Axsome Therapeutics Inc (AXSM)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Eli Lilly and Company generates 10101% more annual revenue ($72.25B vs $708.24M). LLY leads profitability with a 35.0% profit margin vs -26.6%. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).

AXSM

Avoid

31

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 8.0Profit: 2.0Value: 6.7Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: -2.12

LLY

Strong Buy

76

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 10.0Value: 4.3Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.06
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AXSMUndervalued (+49.2%)

Margin of Safety

+49.2%

Fair Value

$366.45

Current Price

$227.42

$139.03 discount

UndervaluedFair: $366.45Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LLY.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AXSM1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
57.4%10/10

Revenue surging 57.4% year-over-year

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Market CapQuality
$1.02T10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
81.0%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 81 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
35.0%10/10

Keeps 35 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
49.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 49.4%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
55.5%10/10

Revenue surging 55.5% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
169.9%10/10

Earnings expanding 169.9% YoY

Areas to Watch

AXSM4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Price/BookValuation
214.5x2/10

Trading at 214.5x book value

Return on EquityProfitability
-345.0%2/10

ROE of -345.0% — below average capital efficiency

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-20.82M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

LLY4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.584/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Debt/EquityHealth
1.393/10

Elevated debt levels

P/E RatioValuation
41.8x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
34.7x2/10

Trading at 34.7x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AXSM

The strongest argument for AXSM centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 57.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 35.0% and operating margin at 49.4%. Revenue growth of 55.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AXSM

The primary concerns for AXSM are EPS Growth, Price/Book, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 4.03 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are PEG Ratio, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 41.8x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AXSM profiles as a hypergrowth stock while LLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

AXSM carries more volatility with a beta of 0.60 — expect wider price swings.

AXSM is growing revenue faster at 57.4% — sustainability is the question.

LLY generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (76/100 vs 31/100), backed by strong 35.0% margins and 55.5% revenue growth. AXSM offers better value entry with a 49.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Axsome Therapeutics Inc

HEALTHCARE · BIOTECHNOLOGY · USA

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, is dedicated to developing new therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders in the United States. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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